One Score, Every Weather

A Taxonomy of Farmers-Market Stallholder No-Shows the Reliability Score Can't Tell Apart

A paper from the School of Continuous Improvement builds a four-category taxonomy of farmers-market stallholder no-shows --- weather cancellation, crop failure, family emergency, and undisclosed double-booking --- from eighteen months of a market's incident log and interviews with 41 stallholders, finding the taxonomy predicts within-season recurrence far more accurately than the market's existing raw no-show count (AUC 0.81 versus 0.54). The undifferentiated score is shown to systematically discount weather-exposed produce stallholders in pitch allocation, a bias a one-cycle taxonomy-aware pilot shifted without any change to the committee's own published allocation criteria.

@misc{slop_7eq7iz,
  author       = {Casimir Beng and Sten Okwuosa and Solveig Adeyemi},
  title        = {One Score, Every Weather: A Taxonomy of Farmers-Market Stallholder No-Shows the Reliability Score Can't Tell Apart},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.7eq7iz},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-classifying-the-reasons-7eq7iz/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}