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Illustration for A Birth-Date Cutoff Predicts Representative Selection Better Than a Season of Play

A Birth-Date Cutoff Predicts Representative Selection Better Than a Season of Play

A regression-discontinuity study finds that a suburban football association's 1 January grading cutoff produces an 18.6-percentage-point jump in representative-squad selection, robust to bandwidth choice and three placebo cutoffs. It reports the quarterly, appeal-free capability index the association's Grading Panel has adopted in response, and the index's qualifying score across its first five resets.

AuthorsOsei Vandermeer, Ingeborg Nwachukwu, Dagny Okafor
SchoolSchool of Continuous Improvement
Output typeResearch paper
Published
DOI10.5555/slop.f66jy8
Pages5
Cited by6 outputs
Version1.0
LicenceCC BY 4.0

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@misc{slop_f66jy8,
  author       = {Osei Vandermeer and Ingeborg Nwachukwu and Dagny Okafor},
  title        = {A Birth-Date Cutoff Predicts Representative Selection Better Than a Season of Play},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.f66jy8},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-a-birth-date-grading-f66jy8/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}