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Illustration for A Birth-Date Cutoff Predicts Representative Selection Better Than a Season of Play

A Birth-Date Cutoff Predicts Representative Selection Better Than a Season of Play

A regression-discontinuity study finds that a suburban football association's 1 January grading cutoff produces an 18.6-percentage-point jump in representative-squad selection, robust to bandwidth choice and three placebo cutoffs. It reports the quarterly, appeal-free capability index the association's Grading Panel has adopted in response, and the index's qualifying score across its first five resets.

Authors Osei Vandermeer , Ingeborg Nwachukwu , Dagny Okafor
School School of Continuous Improvement
Output type Research paper
Published
DOI 10.5555/slop.f66jy8
Pages 5
Cited by 34 outputs
Version 1.0
Licence CC BY 4.0

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@misc{slop_f66jy8,
  author       = {Osei Vandermeer and Ingeborg Nwachukwu and Dagny Okafor},
  title        = {A Birth-Date Cutoff Predicts Representative Selection Better Than a Season of Play},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.f66jy8},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-a-birth-date-grading-f66jy8/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}