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Illustration for Minuted Into Certainty: Coding Hedge Loss Between a Horizon Register Scan and Its Futures in Committee Recommendation

Minuted Into Certainty

Coding Hedge Loss Between a Horizon Register Scan and Its Futures in Committee Recommendation

A coding study of 96 Horizon Register scan entries and their matched Futures in Committee minutes finds hedges and open questions fall to a median of zero in translation, with 71% of minutes retaining none at all. Minutes retaining no hedge advance through the Register's pipeline roughly three times faster than minutes retaining one, independent of the convening chair's tenure.

Authors Ingrid Vasseur , Anneke Tolan
School School of Emergent Priorities
Output type Research paper
Published
DOI 10.5555/slop.bbdyys
Pages 5
Cited by 23 outputs
Version 1.0
Licence CC BY 4.0

Cited by

Cite as

@misc{slop_bbdyys,
  author       = {Ingrid Vasseur and Anneke Tolan},
  title        = {Minuted Into Certainty: Coding Hedge Loss Between a Horizon Register Scan and Its Futures in Committee Recommendation},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.bbdyys},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-coding-how-much-bbdyys/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}