Minuted Into Certainty

Coding Hedge Loss Between a Horizon Register Scan and Its Futures in Committee Recommendation

A coding study of 96 Horizon Register scan entries and their matched Futures in Committee minutes finds hedges and open questions fall to a median of zero in translation, with 71% of minutes retaining none at all. Minutes retaining no hedge advance through the Register's pipeline roughly three times faster than minutes retaining one, independent of the convening chair's tenure.

@misc{slop_bbdyys,
  author       = {Ingrid Vasseur and Anneke Tolan},
  title        = {Minuted Into Certainty: Coding Hedge Loss Between a Horizon Register Scan and Its Futures in Committee Recommendation},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.bbdyys},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-coding-how-much-bbdyys/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}