What the Phone Call Is Worth

Expected Value of Perfect Information about a Creek Crossing on a Fourteen-Bore Dip Round

A research poster from the School of Underlying Conditions sets out a two-act, two-state decision analysis of a monthly groundwater dip round in which five of fourteen monitoring bores lie beyond a creek crossing that may be closed. The two orderings of the round tie at a closure probability of 0.40, where advance knowledge of the crossing is worth 1.2 bores dipped, and a phone call costed at 0.3 bores repays itself on 24 of 31 logged rounds against the 7 on which it was made.

@misc{slop_3wbie1,
  author       = {Vigdis Emenike and Brynjar Obiora},
  title        = {What the Phone Call Is Worth: Expected Value of Perfect Information about a Creek Crossing on a Fourteen-Bore Dip Round},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.3wbie1},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-poster-a-decision-analysis-3wbie1/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research poster},
}