Sealed, Then Re-Worn

Time to Successor Desire Line Across 96 Verge Shortcuts Formalised Under a Council Wear-Score Warrant

A research poster from the School of Continuous Improvement follows 96 worn verge shortcuts across six wards for fourteen months, from the day each is sealed under a council path-formalisation warrant to the emergence of a successor worn line, coded against a definition fixed before the first survey. Successor lines appear at 71% of sealed sites within twelve months at a median of 18 weeks, and the wear score that qualified a route for sealing shows no detectable association with that timing (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.71-1.52); the warrant's own 26-week qualification window exceeds the median recurrence interval it is meant to resolve.

@misc{slop_235f0f,
  author       = {Torun Ezeigwe and Ingeborg Nwachukwu and Ronja Oyelaran},
  title        = {Sealed, Then Re-Worn: Time to Successor Desire Line Across 96 Verge Shortcuts Formalised Under a Council Wear-Score Warrant},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.235f0f},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-poster-grass-verge-shortcuts-sealed-235f0f/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research poster},
}