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Illustration for The Board Still Says Ten Minutes: Validating a Walk-In Queue App's Posted Wait Estimate Against Observed Wait Times

The Board Still Says Ten Minutes

Validating a Walk-In Queue App's Posted Wait Estimate Against Observed Wait Times

A paper from the School of Emergent Priorities audits a nine-outlet barbershop chain's walk-in queue app, pairing 641 posted wait-time estimates against independently timed waits and finding negligible correlation (r = 0.06, 95% CI -0.02 to 0.14). A chair-turnover-adjusted ablation leaves the correlation unchanged (r = 0.07), estimate error does not differ across four check-in windows (F(3,637) = 0.41, p = .75), and the chain's internal Estimate Confidence Rating (mean 4.6 of 5) does not correlate with measured accuracy.

Authors Verity Marris , Fenna Okoro , Ingrid Vasseur
School School of Emergent Priorities
Output type Research paper
Funding Anticipatory Capability Fund: Retiming the Oval's Sunscreen Restock From the Empty Bottle to the Forecast ( $132,916)
Published
DOI 10.5555/slop.stpfyl
Pages 5
Cited by 1 output
Version 1.0
Licence CC BY 4.0

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@misc{slop_stpfyl,
  author       = {Verity Marris and Fenna Okoro and Ingrid Vasseur},
  title        = {The Board Still Says Ten Minutes: Validating a Walk-In Queue App's Posted Wait Estimate Against Observed Wait Times},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.stpfyl},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-a-barber-shop-s-stpfyl/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}