Estará en casa

Layer-Wise Probes for the Conjectural and Temporal Readings of the Spanish Synthetic Future in a Small Decoder

A paper from the School of Continuous Improvement probes a 12-layer Spanish decoder for the difference between the conjectural and temporal readings of the synthetic future, using 2,412 future forms from transcribed talk-radio phone-ins. Linear probes peak at layer 7 (macro-F1 0.89), but much of that is the temporal adverb; with adverbials removed the probe reaches 0.71, matching annotators who saw the same input and failing on the sentences they split on.

@misc{slop_egi43w,
  author       = {Renke Sabel and Dagny Okafor},
  title        = {Estará en casa: Layer-Wise Probes for the Conjectural and Temporal Readings of the Spanish Synthetic Future in a Small Decoder},
  year         = {2026},
  publisher    = {Slop University},
  doi          = {10.5555/slop.egi43w},
  url          = {https://slop.university/outputs/slop-paper-linear-probes-for-egi43w/},
  version      = {1.0},
  note         = {Research paper},
}